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Daily Basketball Site Launched
Sat, 15 Nov 2014 (by RotoGuru)

DailyHoopsData.com

Check it out.



Back to mothballs - or are they basketballs?
Mon, 27 Oct 2014 (by RotoGuru)

With the impending close of the World Series, this site is about to go dormant for the next 4-5 months.

I am still contemplating developing a similar site dedicated to daily NBA analysis. I'm now in the process of resurrecting some tools, and building others. Of course, the daily point summaries, sortable stats, and player pages will be up and running soon at RotoGuru.net, and I'll use that platform to announce other tools as they become available. Eventually, I hope to set up a separate website dedicated to those tools. But for now, RotoGuru is the place to find them.

And if you're not into fantasy NBA action, then I'll see you back here next spring.



Chuseph’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, October 3
Fri, 03 Oct 2014 (by Scott Chu)

Before I throw any darts for DFS purposes, let me give you the best advice I’ve got – when you get a chance to go to a playoff game for your team, go. You never know if/when you’ll get the chance again.

Pitching

Picking a playoff roster requires a bit more thinking and a lot more luck to be successful than in the regular season. There are far fewer options and bargains out there, and the pitching is very cost-prohibitive. The cheapest SP option for the day is Wei-Yin Chen ($7,800), and with the way the Tigers have smacked LHP this season (2nd best OPS in all of baseball), I’d avoid him. I’d also avoid the 2nd cheapest option in Justin Verlander ($8,000). He’s been lights out in the postseason the last few years, but the fact is he just gives up too much power to RHH to trust in this spot and in this ballpark.

So who DO I like? One guy I like is Matt Shoemaker ($9,300). The Royals, despite the LHH throughout their lineup, only slashed .261/.310/.372 against RHP. Additionally, Shoemaker excelled at home, sporting a 2.10 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, and 80 Ks in 81.1 IP. He had two not good starts against the Royals this season, but those were before the All Star break, so I don’t think that matters. The Royals don’t strikeout much, but they also don’t score that many runs. I think this is the safest bet under $10k.

Stephen Strasburg ($11,600) is an interesting pitcher today. The Giants have the 3rd worst OPS among playoff teams overall and against RHP, and Strasburg has been lights out in September with a 1.13 ERA, a 32:3 K:BB ratio, and only 1 HR allowed (which has been an issue for him this season). However, Strasburg has not faced a top 10 lineup in his last 13 starts (based on OPS). His stats may be a tad inflated from poor competition, but SF is beatable. I’m using him today for his upside, but it’s not a slam dunk.

Hitting

Detroit Righties – They’re the best lineup in the American League against LHP, and they face lefty Wei-Yin Chen at noon, who is giving up a .746 OPS to RHP. They’re also playing in Camden Yards, a great park for the sluggers in the Tigers lineup. It’s going to be REALLY hard to roster Miguel Cabrera ($5,600), but you really need to get Victor Martinez ($5,100) and J.D. Martinez ($4,400) into your lineup if at all possible. They’ve each got an OPS north of 1.000 against LHP, which is just absurd. They are actually ranked 2nd and 4th in SLG against LHP this season in all of baseball. A sneakier play is Rajai Davis ($4,000), who actually ranked 15th in SLG against LHP this season (of players who had 100 PA against LHP)! That’s even higher than Miggy! Andrew Romine ($2,400) has been decent against LHP as well, a cheap option to offset some higher costs.

Baltimore Righties – Justin Verlander is a good pitcher with a great playoff resume. However, he’s allowed a .847 OPS against righties, and Baltimore has some really good RHHs. Nelson Cruz ($4,800) is the bane of the Tigers’ existence and is probably going to homer. Steve Pearce ($4,600) and Delmon Young ($3,400) are also RHH who have had success against RHP this year, and they’ve all got some pop. Also, see the above reference to Camden Yards.

A big part of staying under the salary cap is “punting” a position or two, hoping to strike gold. I’ve found some success just looking for players who are either (a) high in the batting order or (b) guys who excel against LHP or RHP with a good match-up. For example, I actually had Iannetta in my lineup tonight (the rest of my team was awful, but that’s beside the point) because he hit lefties well and was going to see a few ABs against Vargas, who struggles against RHH. You are not likely to get a ton of points out of this, but when you spend <$3,000, any points are pretty much a bonus.

Good luck everyone. Enjoy October.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball. He’s also going to try to remember to be better about responding on Twitter.



Postseason Post
Tue, 30 Sep 2014 (by RotoGuru)

DBD will continue in operation throughout the MLB playoffs. Hopefully, all reports will continue to operate normally, although there is always a risk that some reporting will be glitchy, since scheduling is always in flux during October.

Article posting from correspondents will be more limited during October. Some correspondents do plan to continue to post as long as daily (or bi-daily) contests are in play.

Looking ahead, I am considering developing a similar site for Hoops (NBA only), although this might not be activated until sometime after the start of the NBA season. Sortable stats and DFS point recaps will, of course, be available through the RotoGuru "channel", and some sort of daily stats summary will be produced. Beyond those, if you have ideas for useful reports related the the NBA, please send me an email (davehall@rotoguru2.com), and I'll consider them.



Chuseph’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, September 26
Fri, 26 Sep 2014 (by Scott Chu)

Pitching

Corey Kluber ($12,300) is a great selection today, regardless of price. The Rays don’t very well at home (.684 OPS) or against RHP (.685 OPS), and have not hit well all month (.663 OPS). Kluber is an absolute stud, and could go 9 innings in any game, and strike out 7+ in any game. I like him in all formats today. If you want to spend a few thousand less, Jered Weaver ($9.800) is also a really strong option against a flailing and dejected Mariners lineup.

Ryan Vogelsong ($7,000) gets the Padres tonight in San Diego. Vogelsong isn’t great, but you’ve seen me (and pretty much every other writer in this space) pick on the Padres all year, and it is successful far more times than it isn’t. Padres can’t hit, PetCo is pitcher-friendly, and Vogelsong has had mostly useable starts over the last few weeks (except for one in Coors, but, I mean, c’mon, no one pitches well there).

The more I think about it, the more I like the idea of using Drew Hutchinson ($7,500) against Baltimore today. He’s already faced them three times this season, and he’s posted very good numbers. Weirdly enough, even in his worst start (he gave up 6 ER in 6.1 IP) he posted 20.1 points on DraftKings thanks to a whopping 11 punch-outs. Hutchinson is a risk/reward kind of starter thanks to his propensity to give up home runs, but he can really rack up the strikeouts (10+ in 2 of his last 3). His primary weakness is lefties. They’ve got a .818 OPS against him, and about 75% of the HRs he’s given up have been to southpaws. Luckily for Drew, Baltimore doesn’t really have any strong lefties to put in their lineup outside of Nick Markakis. Start him in your GPP and larger tournaments, and you could get a HUGE reward.

Hitting

Cardinals Lefties: Trevor Cahill has been miserable against LHH, giving up a ludicrous .942 OPS to them. Additionally, he’s got a miserable 6.84 ERA at home in 9 starts. Matt Adams ($3,900), Kolten Wong ($3,900), Matt Carpenter ($4,400), and Jon Jay ($3,300) should find a place in your lineup if you need a stack (but make sure Jon Jay is back with the team before you plug him in).

Tigers Righties: The Tigers have a chance to clinch today (hooray!), and face a very weak starter in Anthony Swarzak, who gives up contact and power to folks on both sides of the dish and is even worse outside of Minnesota, followed by a weak bullpen. The Tigers are extremely likely to win this game, and I’m willing to bet they do it by a large margin against a team with really not much left to play for. I won’t list all the players, I’ll just say focus on the top half of the lineup. If I had to pick my favorites, I’d say the 3-4-5 combo of Miguel Cabrera ($5,500), Victor Martinez ($4,700), and J.D. Martinez ($4,700) will be how this one breaks open. Pricey, but likely worth it.

Good luck everyone, enjoy the final series of the season.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball. He’s also going to try to remember to be better about responding on Twitter.



How the Baltimore Orioles Beat the Odds in 2014
Thu, 25 Sep 2014 (by numberFire.com, twitter: @numberFire)


(Orig publ. date: September 22)

7 years ago, the Baltimore Orioles clinched the AL East title and carried that momentum to the ALCS, losing to the Indians. The organization and franchise probably didn’t think they’d struggle to sniff the playoffs again until 2012, or not win the division title until this season. But here we are.

Coming into the season, the Orioles were definitely not the team everyone was focused on in the AL East. The Red Sox were riding high with their newly-shaved faces after their World Series win in 2013. The Yankees spent the offseason buying veterans to make up for their lack of a farm system. The Rays were getting praise for their pitching and ability to make a run with their low payroll. The Blue Jays were trying to figure out why they couldn’t win in 2013 with big names like Jose Reyes and Jose Bautista.

The Orioles’ major storylines entering the year were the fact that they didn’t resign Jim Johnson or acquire Grant Balfour, and many wondered what would happen with Nelson Cruz in his return from the PED suspension.

Baltimore moved past all of this, ...

[click here to read the rest of the article on numberFire.com]



RotoRants for September 24
Wed, 24 Sep 2014 (by Braden Horn, contributing on behalf of RotoRants)

Winning Wednesday’s Advice for Fanduel MLB DFS. We have a 15 games on tap for today with 4 being early. What I want to focus on is the 4 pitchers that have a fantastic chance at dominating their opponents. There are so many different combinations of DFS lineups you can pull, I would like to help you anchor those lineups with the pitching position. Let’s break it down:

Gio Gonzalez (9-10, 3.74 ERA) vs. Mets
Gio has really pitched better than his record would lead you to believe. He just hasn’t had as much run support as other Nationals starters. Regardless, he has a terrific matchup against a swing-happy depleted Mets team. Lifetime, Gio has held the Mets to a .200 BA, allowing only 13 XBH while striking out 48 batters. He will probably be under-owned as we have multiple Aces taking the mound.

Jon Lester (16-10, 2.41 ERA) vs. Angels
Lester has dominated all season, although while a member of the Red Sox, he was pitching on a team that has been in a funk all season and couldn’t muster up any run support for him. Since going to the A’s, all he’s done has been to dominate. He gets a juicy matchup against the Angels who are batting only .235 with 12 XBH, and 33 strike outs. The A’s are fighting for a playoff spot as the Angels have already clinched. We should see a great matchup tonight with a W for Lester.

Jake Arrieta (9-5, 2.65 ERA) vs. Cardinals
Arrieta might just be the surprise of the year for pitchers. He has really pitched like an Ace as he came 1 inning away from a no-hitter a couple weeks ago. He gets to face division rivals in the St. Louis Cardinals and lifetime has held them to a .259 BA with only 6 XBHs and 21 Ks. He’s a completely different pitcher than he was just a year ago in Baltimore.

Clayton Kershaw (20-3, 1.80 ERA) vs. Giants
Like I said last week, any time Kershaw or Hernandez are pitching, they are ALWAYS in contention to be rostered. If his 1.80 ERA isn’t enough to convince you, he has held the Giants to a .204 BA with 15 XBH, 13 which are doubles, and 82 strike outs! He will cost you a ton, but he is well worth his price tag tonight.

Batters to Target:

Victor Martinez vs. Chris Sale
I don’t know what it is but V-Mart loves facing the White Sox Ace. Lifetime, he is 15 for 28 with 3 doubles, 3 HRs, and a .536 BA. He is the BvP of the day for me.

Jose Abreu vs. Justin Verlander
For whatever reason, Verlander hasn’t been himself in over a year. He continues to struggle and Abreu has taken advantage. In his first MLB season against Verlander, Abreu is batting .583 while going 7 for 12 with a double and 2 HRs. I’m looking for another BOMBpop from him tonight.

Adam LaRoche vs. Dillon Gee
Unfortunately Gee plays for a team that can’t manufacture runs for him and his 7-8 record reflects that. LaRoche has been on fire against RHP lately and lifetime is 7 for 29 with a double and 3 HRs off Gee. I look for his dominant streak against righties to continue tonight.

Robinson Cano vs. Mark Buehrle
Buehrle started the year out hot and has fizzled down the stretch. The Mariners are a hot-hitting team searching for a playoff spot and Cano has been the main offensive reason. Lifetime against Buehrle, Cano is 9 for 26 with 2 doubles, 3 HRs, and 11 RBIs. I’m predicting a BOMBpop for him tonight.

TEAM TO STACK: Mariners vs. Mark Buehrle
Robinson Cano: 9 for 26, 2 doubles, 3 HRs, 11 RBIs, .346 BA
Austin Jackson: 9 for 21, 2 doubles, .429 BA
Corey Hart: 3 for 5, 2 HRs, .600 BA (contingent on if he starts, which he should with the small sample size he has against Buehrle.)

If you would like full DFS Lineups for that day, you’ll have to head on over to Roto Rants to check out our options. Think about it, you could turn $.99 into $2,000 playing the Fanduel MLB Squeeze using our Projected Lineups.

(Also please note, we do everything we can to update the lineup in case of scratches. If a scratch occurs late or you don't agree with a player we've suggested use the players listed in the charts above to find a valuable replacement.)

Remember to hit the subscribe button and get the full articles to fast-track your way into the money! Good luck tonight and bring home the bacon.

Braden Horn has been writing fantasy sports for 5 years and daily fantasy sports for 3. He is a Yankees fanatic, and a Peyton Manning fan. When he’s not working his daily job, he can be found over at www.rotorants.com as the MLB/NFL Fanduel Premium Play writer, the MLB Content Manager at Roto Rants, and he also owns his own fantasy website called Fantasy Sports Guru where he gives his own take on Daily Fantasy Sports. He’s turned $500 into $5,000 playing DFS on Fanduel in 1 month and turned another $100 into $5,000 using the Premium Plays on Roto Rants. Be sure to check out his websites or email him any fantasy sports question at fantasysportsguru22@gmail.com.

Twitter: @FantasyAdvice22
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FantasySportsGuru22
Blog: fantasysportsadvice.sportsblog.com



Daily Batter vs. Pitcher Analysis for September 23
Tue, 23 Sep 2014 (by Philip Nacamuli)

It's Tuesday which means we've got a full slate of night games ahead of us. We've got all day to do our research and I see plenty of great matchups to choose from today. The weather also looks good right now for all the games on the schedule so let's hope it stays that way. Another thing to note is that a lot of the games have over/unders that are 7 or below right now. Don't be surprised if tonight is a very low scoring night.

Pitchers

My favorite pitcher of the day is David Price. He is a gigantic favorite to win today (moneyline currently at -293) and I fully expect him to mow down the White Sox. He is coming off a pretty weak start though, so let's hope he can turn it around today.

Some other pitchers I like are Tanner Roark, Cole Hamels and Felix Hernandez. Each of them are favored to win and I really like their chance of having strong outings. None of the over/under in their matchups are above 7 as well so hopefully we'll see some low run totals by the opposing teams.

Hitters

Today's featured hitter is Michael Brantley. He will be facing Yordano Ventura, who he is 5-13 (.385) against with 1 HR and 2 RBI. Brantley has certainly had a great year so let's look for him to wrap up the final days of the season with a big bang.

Some other notable hitters are Mike Trout (vs. Sonny Gray, 4-11 (.364), 2 HR, 2 RBI), Ian Desmond (vs. Bartolo Colon, 4-10 (.400), 2 HR, 3 RBI) and Jose Altuve (vs. Nick Martinez, 4-7 (.571), 3 XBH).

Today's value hitter is Alcides Escobar. He will be facing Danny Salazar today, who he is 4-9 (.444) against. There is not much else to say about this matchup other than I think Escobar has a great shot to get on base a few times. If he does so, he should provide us with some great value.

Today's punt hitter is Gerardo Parra. He will be facing Johnny Cueto today, who he is 6-14 (.429) against with 2 HR, 3 RBI and 5 XBH. Those are some very impressive numbers for such a small sample size and I think Parra has a great shot of delivering some bit points tonight. If you're looking to save some salary then this guy can definitely help you do that today.

Stacking options

My favorite stack of the day is Tigers hitters in general. They are not only huge favorites to win today but they are facing a terrible pitcher as well. I'd be very surprised if the Tigers to pull off an overwhelming win against the White Sox today.

Another option to keep in mind is the Mariners lefties. They are facing R.A. Dickey who has had his good days and had his bad days this season. Let's look for tonight to be another bad day as they are playing in the hitter friendly Rogers Center.

The Athletics hitters are getting throw into the mix tonight as well. They have been showing some signs of life as they make their final playoff push and I really like the matchup they get against Wade LeBlanc. They are also pretty big favorites to win tonight so that's a plus.

Lastly, keep a very close eye on the Yankees lefties tonight. Currently the wind is blowing out to right field at 15 MPH at Yankees Stadium. This bodes extremely well for those lefties facing a very short porch on that side of the field. The Orioles pitcher, Jimenez, has also not had the best season so far. Let's look for the Yankees to push his 4.90 ERA above the 5.00 mark tonight.

[For more expansion on Philip's analysis for today, follow this link.]

Philip Nacamuli is a New Jersyan mathlete who lives, eats and breathes baseball. When he is not watching a Mets game he is usually sitting at his computer tinkering with his spreadsheets. After being part of the daily fantasy community for several years Phil decided that he would combine his love of math and baseball and his Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis was born! Since the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Phil has been helping newcomers to the daily fantasy sports scene by posting his critically acclaimed Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis on Reddit and answering any questions that newcomers may have. You can find Phil on Twitter as @phillyCHEEEEEZ, on Reddit as /u/phillyCHEEEEEZ or at bars in the North-Central Jersey area proclaiming how this year is actually going to be the Mets' year.



Daily DraftKings Matchups: Monday, September 22
Mon, 22 Sep 2014 (by Bryan Curley of baseballprof.com)

Monday’s Optimal DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

C: Russell Martin (PIT) @ A. Harang (ATL) — $4,500
1B: Hidden
2B: Neil Walker (PIT) @ A. Harang (ATL) — $4,500
3B: Josh Harrison (PIT) @ A. Harang (ATL) — $4,300
SS: Hidden
OF: Andrew McCutchen (PIT) @ A. Harang (ATL) — $5,000
OF: Starling Marte (PIT) @ A. Harang (ATL) — $4,900
OF: Jonny Gomes (OAK) vs. C. Wilson (LAA) — $2,500
SP: Danny Duffy (KC) @ C. Carrasco (CLE) — $7,800
SP: Hidden

On a short day there’s generally fewer good pitching options to choose from. With Adam Wainwright, his low K rate, and his struggles against the Cubs listed as the day’s top option, that’s especially true. I do like a few of today’s mid-range gambles, though, and the best risk is Danny Duffy. He hasn’t pitched since August 26 with a sore shoulder sidelining him for the past month, but he’s starting tonight and will face an Indians lineup that both he and fellow left-handers have succeeded against this season. On the year Duffy has pitched 21.2 IP against Cleveland with 21 K and a 2.08 ERA, and the Royals need this game badly.

Oh what do you know, we have a Pirates stack! I won’t stack Rockies away from Coors so Eric Stults goes to waste (from a “who can we stack against perspective”), Arizona doesn’t have enough bats to exploit Ricky Nolasco, and I don’t trust the Cardinals’ power against the Cubs, so that leaves the Pirates against Aaron Harang, the White Sox against Kyle Lobstein, the Tigers against Chris Bassitt, or maybe one of the day’s riskier stacks like the Yankees against Wei-Yin Chen. I’m partial to Pirates batters because they have huge upside potential, and Harang doesn’t scare me. Interestingly, the five Pirates I selected — Martin, Walker, Harrison, McCutchen, Marte — have 52 AB combined against Harang yet have struck out just four times! Put the ball in play that often and good things will happen.

The Pittsburgh stack is a little expensive so I need to cut costs in a couple spots. One of those is my third outfielder where I selected Gomes against C.J. Wilson. Wilson was great last time out and “great” isn’t a word that we can use for Gomes unless we’re quantifying his clubhouse contributions, but that’s going to put points up on the board for us. It’s an extremely risky pick, but $2,500 is a bargain basement price, Gomes generally plays against LHP, and he’s seen success against Wilson (7-for-22, 2 doubles, 1 HR, 6 BB, 4 K). I always, always, always take BvP data with a grain of salt because of sample size (small) and context (when did these AB take place?) but in Gomes case we know Wilson is the kind of pitcher he hits so I’m not surprised to see good numbers here.

Baseball Professor is sabermetric-slanted fantasy baseball blog with fresh content updated daily. Their fantasy analysts provide you with everything you need to run your team on a daily basis, including their SP Matchup Ratings, Fantasy News and Notes, and a no-fluff daily podcast (or as they call it, a Profcast). Get the fantasy info you want at www.baseballprof.com.



Chuseph’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, September 19
Fri, 19 Sep 2014 (by Scott Chu)

Pitching

As the pricing indicates, Jon Lester ($12,300) is probably everyone’s #1 guy tonight. The Phillies are terrible and Lester is good. I could use stats to show you that, but I don’t think I need to. You can take my word on it. It’s a safe play for 50/50’s and 2-10 player contests, but you might want to look elsewhere in the GPP’s simply because everyone else will have him too.

Doug Fister ($8,700) should be in for a good day. His last two starts have been pretty serviceable after a run of 3 bad starts. He’s catching a Marlins team with pretty much nothing left to play for that’s missing its best slugger. Starting pitchers have a 2.44 ERA against the Marlins since they lost Stanton, and all 7 have pitched over 6 innings and all but 2 have posted 5+ Ks. Fister could easily put up a Fister-like line of 7 IP, 1-2 ER, and 5+ K’s, and that’s a pretty good day.

The Boston Red Sox are nearing the end of a nightmarish season, but not before they face the surging Kevin Gausman ($7,500), who has pitched 7+ innings in each of his last 3 starts and has 7 Ks in 4 of his last 5. Boston has been bad against righties, posting only a .672 OPS against them. They’ve actually been awful in general since the All-Star Break, with only a .659 OPS in that time. They really don’t have any good lefty bats outside of Big Papi, so they struggle to challenge RHP. Gausman fanned 7 BoSox hitters in 5.1 innings the last time he faced them, and based on his recent improvement in efficiency, I expect him to go longer this time out. He’s also got the K upside you’re looking for in a GPP tournament.

Briefly, I also like Julio Teheran ($8,800), Justin Verlander ($7,400), and Tim Hudson ($7,000), in that order. I might like Teheran as much as or more than Fister, but I suspect he’ll be a more obvious and popular play, so I tried to write about someone a little more sneaky.

Hitting

Colorado Lefties – They’re at home, where as a team they sport a .894 OPS, which is just plain silly. They’ve been blasting the ball recently, scoring 10, 16, and 7 runs in their last 3 games, which is just plain silly as well. Chase Anderson, the opposing pitcher, has a reverse split going on this season, allowing a .831 OPS to RHH, despite being a RHP. Michael McKenry ($4,300), Drew Stubbs ($4,200), Michael Cuddyer ($4,500), and Brandon Barnes ($2,400) all have a decent history against RHP, and if they play, should have some pretty hard hits.

St. Louis Righties – I can’t admit to knowing who David Holmberg is, but he’s pitching for the Reds tonight, he throws about 89 MPH, and he’s given up 5 HRs in just 18 innings this season. 2 of his 3 starts have lasted just 2.2 innings because he was getting shelled (11 ER and 4 HR in those 5.1 innings). While his last two appearances (1 start and 1 5.2 inning relief appearance) have been much smoother, picking on unproven pitchers can be a lucrative move. Matt Holiday ($4,800), Jhonny Peralta ($3,900), Jon Jay ($3,000), and Yadier Molina ($3,500) are the best bets, but you might also consider Daniel Descalso ($2,200), if he starts (which is pretty unlikely). It’s a really small sample size, but Holmberg has given up 6 hits (including 2 HR) to LHH in 17 AB. Descalso, a lefty, is 12/32 against lefties this season with a .912 OPS. Again, this is really small sample size stuff, so it’s not to be entirely trusted, but if you REALLY need a cheap option at 2B/SS, he could be your guy.

SEA LHH, BAL LHH, CWS RHH, and ARI LHH are also decent options too, if you need to fill some lineup spots.

Good luck folks. Hope you’re enjoying September baseball. It’s a beautiful thing. Oh, and hey Tigers, c’mon. I landed playoff tickets for the ALDS, don’t rob me of this opportunity.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball. He’s also going to try to remember to be better about responding on Twitter.



RotoRants for September 18
Thu, 18 Sep 2014 (by Braden Horn, contributing on behalf of RotoRants)

Winning Thursday’s Advice for Fanduel MLB DFS. We have a 10 games on tap for today with one being early. What I want to focus on is the four pitchers that have a fantastic chance at dominating their opponents. There are so many different combinations of DFS lineups you can pull, I would like to help you anchor those lineups with the pitching position. Let’s break it down:

Gerrit Cole (9-5, 3.92 ERA) vs. Red Sox
Cole hasn’t faced the Red Sox much and only 2 current players have faced him. This bodes well for his record and chances at going against a team that is unfamiliar with him and the Red Sox have been in shambles all season. Looking for Cole to go at least 7 innings, with 7 strike outs and get the win.

Doug Fister (14-6, 2.55 ERA) vs. Marlins
With Stanton not in the lineup, the Marlins are absolutely dead in the water. Doug Fister has been dominant all season with his 14-6 Record and gets a great matchup in Miami. He’s faced the Marlins a few times and has dominated. Miami is batting only .289 with 10 Ks and only 1 HR. He’s got a great matchup and could be used for both Cash-Games and GPPs.

Zack Greinke (15-8, 2.64 ERA) vs. Cubs - Contrarian GPP Pitcher
Greinke has been dominant just like normal and gets to face a Cubs team that has been a surprise down the stretch. Greinke has faced the Cubs numerous times as he pitched for Milwaukee. Lifetime against the Cubs, Greinke has held them to a .297 BA and 14 Ks. Looking for him to improve his record to 16 wins as the Dodgers have been hitting the ball well. With these sorts of numbers, I think Greinke will be over-looked with a lot owners for DFS and that’s exactly what we need for a GPP. The least owned players with the ace status such as Greinke, could be the difference between a big payday and not cashing at all.

Felix Hernandez (14-5, 2.14 ERA) vs. Angels
Anytime Hernandez or Kershaw are on the bump, you have to roll with them. Felix and the Mariners are going against Weaver who they have owned in the past, and they are trying for a playoff spot. Look for the Mariners to jump out early and Hernandez to mow down the competition.

HITTERS TO TARGET
Brian McCann vs. R.A. Dickey
Lifetime against Dickey, McCann is 6 for 26 with 1 HR, 5 BBs, and he’s hit most of his HRs at Yankee Stadium. He’s easily a GPP option tonight.

Jarrod Saltalamacchia vs. Doug Fister
Lifetime against Fister, Salty is 5 for 11 with 2 doubles and 1 HR. He could make a very cheap option so we could afford Hernandez tonight.

Jose Altuve vs. Danny Salazar
Altuve is only 1 for 3 off Salazar with an RBI, but he’s been on fire and just broke the single season hits record last night. One that was held by none other than Astro’s great, Craig Biggio. Altuve is just on a hot streak and has to be in contention for rostering every night.

Team to Stack: MARINERS against the Angels (Jered Weaver)
Justin Smoak - He’s 10 for 34 lifetime off Weaver with 3 doubles, 3 HRs, 8 RBIs, 3 walks, and 6 Ks. He’s the low cost/high reward option for GPP that allows us to get an ace pitcher.
Dustin Ackley - Lifetime against Weaver, he’s 9 for 26 with 3 doubles and a HR. He has come off his hot streak he was on a few weeks ago and his price has been adjusted accordingly. Look for him to be under-owned and under-valued tonight.
Robinson Cano - If you don’t want to go with Altuve, Cano is the next best option. He’s hit Weaver well in his career on both the Yankees and Mariners to a tune of 15 for 38 with a triple.
Kendrys Morales

If you would like full DFS Lineups for the day, you’ll have to head on over to Roto Rants to check out our options. Think about it, you could turn $.99 into $2,000 playing the Fanduel MLB Squeeze using our Projected Lineups.

(Also please note, we do everything we can to update the lineup in case of scratches. If a scratch occurs late or you don't agree with a player we've suggested use the players listed in the charts above to find a valuable replacement.)

Remember to hit the subscribe button and get the full articles to fast-track your way into the money! Good luck tonight and bring home the bacon.

Braden Horn has been writing fantasy sports for 5 years and daily fantasy sports for 3. He is a Yankees fanatic, and a Peyton Manning fan. When he’s not working his daily job, he can be found over at www.rotorants.com as the MLB/NFL Fanduel Premium Play writer, the MLB Content Manager at Roto Rants, and he also owns his own fantasy website called Fantasy Sports Guru where he gives his own take on Daily Fantasy Sports. He’s turned $500 into $5,000 playing DFS on Fanduel in 1 month and turned another $100 into $5,000 using the Premium Plays on Roto Rants. Be sure to check out his websites or email him any fantasy sports question at fantasysportsguru22@gmail.com.

Twitter: @FantasyAdvice22
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FantasySportsGuru22
Blog: fantasysportsadvice.sportsblog.com



How Legitimate Are the Kansas City Royals?
Wed, 17 Sep 2014 (by numberFire.com, twitter: @numberFire)


(Orig publ. date: September 16)

The Royals haven’t seriously been in the playoff hunt this far into a season since 1995. Last year, they were much improved and gave their fans new reason for hope with their small push for the wild card, even though they came up short and finished third in the AL Central.

Now they are in an arms race with the Tigers, with the Indians' hopes almost completely erased. Kansas City also finds themselves as the second place team in the wild card race, with the Mariners only one game behind them, too.

How will the final stretch of their season shape up?

[click here to read the rest of the article on numberFire.com]



Daily Batter vs. Pitcher Analysis for September 16
Tue, 16 Sep 2014 (by Philip Nacamuli)

Pitchers

My favorite pitcher of the day is Corey Kluber. He is the favorite to win in Houston today and he is coming off two really strong starts so let's look for him to stay dominant tonight.

Some other pitchers I like are Johnny Cueto, Scott Kazmir and Charlie Morton. Kazmir and Morton are heavily favored to win today while Cueto only has a slight edge. I still think all three of them have a great chance to pick up a win and put some strikeouts on the board tonight.

Hitters

Today's featured hitter is Buster Posey. He will be facing Josh Collmenter today, who he is 9-14 (.643) against with 2 HR, 7 RBI and 3 XBH. He has also been playing extremely well recently so let's look for him to get on base a few times tonight.

Some other notable hitters are Matt Holliday (vs. Wily Peralta, 8-18 (.444), 2 HR 5 RBI, 2 XBH), Corey Dickerson (vs. Dan Haren, 4-5 (.800), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 4 XBH) and Albert Pujols (vs. Roenis Elias, 2-6 (.333), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 XBH).

Today's value hitter is Yunel Escobar. He will be facing Michael Pineda today, who he is 6-12 (.500) against with 2 HR, 5 RBI and 3 XBH. He has also been hitting very well recently and I think he has a great shot to pick up a few hits tonight.

Today's punt hitter is Jean Segura. He will be facing Lance Lynn today, who he is 7-15 (.467) against with 2 RBI and 2 XBH. The Brewers are Cardinals are in a bit of a division race right now so this game should make for an exciting one for sure. Let's hope Segura can spark Milwaukee's offense tonight.

Stacking options

It should be fairly obvious that the Dodgers righties and Rockies lefties are on the radar as possible stacking options tonight. They are both facing pitchers of the opposite hand tonight. The Dodgers starter, Haren, has always struggled with giving up the long ball and playing in Coors is not a good place to remedy that situation. The Rockies starter, Matzek, has had a really tough time against righties this season. Either way I think both teams are going to have big nights, it's just a matter of who is going to score more runs.

Another team I like is the Angels, once again. I feel like I'm turning into a broken record but the Angels are the best team in baseball right now and they are facing a very young, volatile lefty. Targeting the righties like Trout, Pujols and Kendrick should be your goal tonight as there are a few cheap pitchers that can allow you go for those expensive guys today.

Last, but certainly not least, is the Athletics lefties. Oakland is a huge favorite to win against Texas today and the Rangers starting pitching this year has been some of the worst I've ever seen. A lot of Oakland's players have also dropped in salary due to their underwhelming performance recently so this is a pretty cheap stack today with huge potential. You can't ask for much more than that.

[For more expansion on Philip's analysis for today, follow this link.]

Philip Nacamuli is a New Jersyan mathlete who lives, eats and breathes baseball. When he is not watching a Mets game he is usually sitting at his computer tinkering with his spreadsheets. After being part of the daily fantasy community for several years Phil decided that he would combine his love of math and baseball and his Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis was born! Since the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Phil has been helping newcomers to the daily fantasy sports scene by posting his critically acclaimed Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis on Reddit and answering any questions that newcomers may have. You can find Phil on Twitter as @phillyCHEEEEEZ, on Reddit as /u/phillyCHEEEEEZ or at bars in the North-Central Jersey area proclaiming how this year is actually going to be the Mets' year.



Daily DraftKings Matchups: Monday, September 15
Mon, 15 Sep 2014 (by Bryan Curley of baseballprof.com)

Monday’s Optimal DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

C: A.J. Ellis (LAD) @ C. Bergman (COL) — $2,500
1B: Hidden
2B: Dee Gordon (LAD) @ C. Bergman (COL) — $4,600
3B: Danny Valencia (TOR) @ W. Chen (BAL) — $3,000
SS: Hanley Ramirez (LAD) @ C. Bergman (COL) — $4,600
OF: Carl Crawford (LAD) @ C. Bergman (COL) — $4,400
OF: Matt Kemp (LAD) @ C. Bergman (COL) — $4,500
OF: Hidden
SP: Jacob deGrom (NYM) vs. Jarred Cosart (MIA) — $10,900
SP: Hidden

Last week I ignored deGrom at home against the Rockies because I just didn’t want to pay $10K+ for him regardless of the matchup. deGrom went on to score 38.20 points and dominate an overmatched Colorado lineup. The road Rockies are worse than the road Marlins, but the road Marlins are still pretty easy. In his last 10 starts, deGrom has faced the Marlins twice and he’s scored 21.30 and 29.60 points. I think he’s a safe bet for 20+ with good potential for much more.

Tonight’s lineup is heavy on Dodgers who will travel to Colorado and face Christian Bergman. Once Bergman inevitably gets pulled, he’ll be replaced by a Rockies bullpen that has a 4.97 ERA over the last month. If you’re familiar with our Daily SP Rankings, you probably have seen we included atmospheric data from BaseballVMI.com in our rankings.

Quick lesson: When we think of hitters traveling to Coors, we often think of the thinner air allowing the ball to fly farther. That’s true, but it’s only part of the Coors Effect. The thin air also affects pitchers by preventing their pitches from moving as much. This makes it easier for batters to hit because straighter pitches are generally easier to hit than less straight pitches. Compounding that effect, when batters are coming from cities where pitches move more and now they’re seeing pitches that move less, the pitches become even easier to hit because the relative change in pitch movement is greater.

So that’s why I have five Dodgers in tonight’s lineup. Not only do they have an easy matchup against Bergman, but they’re traveling to a fantastic hitting environment. Ellis is there because of his cost, but Gordon, Ramirez, Kemp, and Crawford are in there for their upside. Gordon has hit safely in his last eight and has been a 10 point player for the last week, Ramirez has a ton of upside and hasn’t struck out in five games, Crawford is the cheapest of LA’s three starting outfielders (OK by just $100, but they’re all good bets today) and has been raking of late (12 hits, including five doubles, in his last five games), and Kemp has averaged 10 points over his last 10 games. Note that this will likely be a very popular stack tonight.

So far most of our selections have been very expensive. That’s where Valencia comes in. He’ll face the left-handed Wei-Yin Chen and is a good bet for a hit and maybe 4-8 points. It’s not a ton, but I can’t afford more than that!

Baseball Professor is sabermetric-slanted fantasy baseball blog with fresh content updated daily. Their fantasy analysts provide you with everything you need to run your team on a daily basis, including their SP Matchup Ratings, Fantasy News and Notes, and a no-fluff daily podcast (or as they call it, a Profcast). Get the fantasy info you want at www.baseballprof.com.



Chuseph’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, September 12
Fri, 12 Sep 2014 (by Scott Chu)

Pitching

Madison Bumgarner ($11,700) is my top ace for the day. The Dodgers might seem a scary opponent, but they’re rather pedestrian against lefties, evidenced by their .694 OPS against them this season, right around the NL average of .688. After a rough patch in late June/early July, he’s put up a QS in 9 of his last 10, with 5+ Ks in 8 of those games. He’s also got the potential to put up the HUGE win (25+ points in 4 of his last 6, 45+ in 2 of those games). He’s oddly struggled at home this year in a pitching-friendly park, but this isn’t in line with his career norms, so I’m ignoring it and giving him my full endorsement. With Giancarlo Stanton (ouch, get well soon) out of the lineup, Cole Hamels ($10,600) is my 2nd place guy.

I’m back on the Vidal Nuno ($6,800) train again this week, this time because he’s facing the Padres, who, like I say seemingly every week, can’t hit. They’re especially bad against lefties, with an almost unbelievable .569 OPS against lefties. By comparison, only 2 players in all of MLB (who qualify for the batting title) have an OPS under .600 this season – Jean Segura and Zack Cozart. Only 7 SPs have allowed an OPS under .600 against them. They include Felix Hernandez, Adam Wainwright, Clayton Kershaw, and Chris Sale. In other words, the average Padre, when facing LHP, hits like Jean Segura. The average LHP who faces the Padres looks like Adam Wainwright. I’m not saying Nuno will put up numbers like those guys. I’m just trying to indicate how awful the Padres are against lefties.

Quickly, I’m also high on Gio Gonzalez ($8,700) (NYM awful against LHP, and he’s seeming to rebound a little), Jose Quintana ($7,500) (19 K and only 4 ER in 18 IP against Twins this year), and Alex Wood ($9,100) (Rangers stink - .643 OPS in August, September hasn’t been any better).

Hitting

Arizona Righties – Hey look, it’s Eric Stults! That means we get to start some righties. To make it even juicier, we get to start some righties. (Yes, I said this exact same thing last week, and 2 of those guys hit a HR. Stults is predictably awful against RHH, and we love him for it). Mark Trumbo ($3,700) and A.J. Pollock ($4,200) the big tickets that I see, but check the lineup for Chris Owings ($2,700), Nolan Reimold ($2,900), Aaron Hill ($3,800), and Cliff Pennington ($2,400). They’re all capable of big things against Stults.

Royals Hitters – Letting it ride has been a theme so far, and it isn’t stopping here. Allen Webster is not very good, particularly against RHH who like facing RHP (like Bautista and Encarnacion last week, who both took him deep). The Royals don’t have anyone like those two bats in their lineup, but Salvador Perez ($3,500) and Lorenzo Cain ($3,700) both have decent numbers against RHH and are priced to move. Webster hasn’t been that good against lefties either, so if you wanted a mini stack, Alex Gordon ($4,600) could hit a bomb for you (he’s been doing that lately).

For the record, I also like TOR Hitters (some kid is making his first MLB start, and his AAA numbers aren’t that good), STL RHH (I also seem to pick on De La Rosa every week), LAA RHH (Oberholtzer gives up hits to RHH, LAA has some really good RHH you might have heard of), in no particular order.

Hope your real and fantasy teams are still in (and stay in) the hunt. Unless you’re a Royals fan. Go Tigers.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball. He’s also going to try to remember to be better about responding on Twitter.




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